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Author: Stephen Pickering

  • The Natural Gas Revolution and How to Play It.

    Update 7/17/12 – I saw Wilbur Ross, the famed Billionaire investor who made a lot investing in Coal and getting out with perfect timing, I’m assuming when the Nat Gas Revolution kicked in, he mentioned EXCO Resources Inc (XCO) as his main Natural Gas play. Of course, he is a director. But Richard Grasso, a member of the Fast Money Panel also agreed with him about Exco. I don’t know what the price is when you read this, but as I type it’s $7.07 with a 1.53b market cap.

    But I must confess, I don’t know personally whether I’ll ever invest in this industry. I just can’t get my head around it. I like companies that have zero debit and are making a net profit after tax. If you look at the financials of some of these energy companies, especially the “exploratory” ones like XCO, boy you see a lot of red ink. I know it’s normal in this type of industry, especially with a young company, but man it just doesn’t make me feel comfortable, and I can’t seem to get my head around it. I’ll probably do some more reading and investigating in my spare time. Maybe I’ll change my mind.

    I was watching “Fast Money” but not on cable or Dish, mind you, but rather late at night on my iPad. There’s another major trend, the Cloud, “Cord Cutting” et. Think Apple, Roku, Amazon, Google/Youtube, Facebook, et. al, which of course a sub component of the larger “All Media is Moving to the Web” (Think the infrastructure plays that are continuing to build that out (EZCH, RAX, etc.) but also think: Get your own website! And preferably buy your hosting on $RAX’s “Cloud Sites, through me, here: http://rackspacereseller.com/Plans.html (As Cramer would say, “Buy, buy, buy, buy, buy, buy!” hahhahahahahhahhah!

    But anyway, back to the topic at hand. Another trend has been brewing for the last few years: Natural Gas. I’ve been mostly concentrating on Tech lately, but this episode of “Fast Money” reminded me of the Natural Gas trend. I believe it was either Dennis Gartman or perhaps the Chairman of (WTR) whom they had on who said, “In 10 Years the Whole Economy will be powered by Natural Gas.”

    That took me aback. That’s a powerful paradigm. Dennis Gartman said that the best way to play it is through Chesapeake Energy (CHK). Wow I noticed they are down 6.5% today. I think the issue of the moment is that Nat Gas is very cheap right now because so much has been found and developed (via new “technology”) and yet the economy as a whole is just in the burgeoning phases of changing its infrastructure to utilize it for things other than your heat during winter. (Nat Gas cars, etc.)

    One interesting point brought up was that the price for Nat Gas in Europe and other places is about 5 times higher. So there is a market for shipping, exporting it. The problem is that is a very expensive thing to do. So Gartman pushed back a bit on Cheniere Energy (LNG) which is the company building the ships (or are they purchasing the ships and then selling the shipping?) because of how expensive it was to do so. But then Grasso pushed back on him, saying that he was long ING because they were the only one doing it, the only ones with the permits, regulations, technology to do it, and so they had a monopoly on shipping the stuff. In the end Gartman agreed that LNG was a good way to play the paradigm in the long run. I believe he just had short term misgivings about the expense.

    Another interesting Company brought up was Aqua America Inc (WTR), which is a Water Company in general, but a growing part of their business is supplying the water for the “Hydro Fracking” I believe they call it process. This company seemed to be a solid company overall, not just because of their Nat Gas exposure, and indeed the Nat Gas business was only adding about a penny a share in earnings at the moment, but was considered to grow substantially over the coming years.

    Just as an afterthought, it wasn’t mentioned on the show, but a company my brother told me about Mcmoran Exploration Co (MMR), whom I haven’t taken the time to sit down an research, so I don’t know exactly what they do (although I know it’s in Nat Gas) They have been in my iPhone finance app though, and they haven’t done really anything as far as price movement (between $11-12 for most of this time) but you have to considered how dramatically Nat Gas has dropped over the last year or so too.

    I remember like a year ago, listening to the Bloomberg Podcast app on my iPad and this analyst was highly recommending the Nat Gas ETF: United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG) because in his opinion Natural Gas was priced for “Nirvana” and that any disruption would cause a spike. Glad I didn’t take his advice. I think the price is down 50-75% since then. So what’s next after “Nirvana”?

    But anyway, will I invest in any of these? I don’t know. I’m so immersed in the tech field that I really “feel” its paradigms, and I don’t have a good “feel” for what’s going on here. But I do think I’ll do some investigating, because I like that sort of thing, and I like Paradigm shifts, and also it would be nice to diversify my portfolio a bit.

    CHK, ING, WTR

  • Resources For Building, Optimizing, Growing Facebook Pages

    1. The Choose Yourself Era – How to Get 100,000 Facebook Fans– James Altucher – Man, this is an incredible post by one of the Co-Founders of Buddy Media, which recently sold to Salesforce.com for 800 million. And from my understanding there business was and is about helping big brands with their marketing efforts using Facebook Pages.
    2. 7 Easy Ways to Increase Your Page’s EdgeRank – Post Rocket
    3. Facebook Timeline for Business Pages – 21 Key Points To Know – MariSmith.com – Boy this Mari seems to be the Goddess of the Facebook Fanpage! How did I find it? I needed to know that the Masthead image for a Fan Page should be 851 x 315 px, and as I thought the profile image is square and has to be at least 180 x 180. (I’ll probably make a 360 x 360 one.) But man, there is a ton of info on this page, and I get the feeling that her whole blog is about Facebook Fan Page Marketing.
    4. 12 Tips to Optimize Facebook Page for Maximum Reach and Brand Visibility – Wchingya.com
    5. A Simple 6 Step Plan for Creating a Facebook Page that Works – NetWitsThinkTank.com
    6. You’ve Got Facebook Fans, Now What? Booshaka Raises $1M to Ensure Your Posts Earn You Money – TechCrunch.com
  • How Metaphysics and Physics are Coming Closer Together

    There’s always those quotes that bypass the Ego gate and strike a chord deep within what Jung might call your “Collective Unconscious,” and this was one of them for me. One reason this strikes me is that it seems to relate or come very close in a metaphysical way to the Physical Scientific Fact that all of us have wave functions that fill up not just the entire Universe but also the infinite number of Quantum Multi Verses, as well as all of time past and all of time future, forever and ever without end. That sounds Metaphysical, but it’s actually a Scientific fact. It almost feels like how they built the railroads in the 19th century, one group working from the West Coast inwards, the other from the East, and then they met in the middle. It seems like the more Science discovers or rather “uncovers” the more the images seen in the telescopes and the microscopes seem to resonate with the images of Metaphysics, Mythos, and what is coming out of the Collective Unconscious.

    The great barrier in the Metaphysical picture painted above is the Ego, which is symbolized by Dragons, serpents, and other creatures that are cutting off this natural flow of “Cosmic” energy. In the Fairy Tale and Myth, “Slaying the Dragon” is symbolic of “Slaying” your own “Ego” which by its very nature of seeing itself as separate from “Nature” and the rest of the World and Universe, destroys Spirit. For in this picture, “Spirit” like the bloom on a flower is the by product of Nature, something created by nature, not something separate or to be imposed on nature.

    Makes me start to think that the Wave Function is the equivalent of “Consciousness” as in the famous Vedic expression: Being> Consciousness> Bliss (Sat, Chith, Ananda in Sanskrit) So, the second of that Trinity. “Being” seems to be the initiator of a great track opening up. But what is “Being”? That seems to be the great mystery and key.

     

  • The Most Beautiful Sunrise Photo I’ve Ever Seen

    This was posted this morning by Rosa Golijan, a senior editor and writer at msnbc.com. I believe she mostly covers tech.
    I guess that’s the Brooklyn Bridge. Look at the symmetry. I don’t know if she planned it, but the Sun is in that perfect “rule of 3rds” position, at least horizontally. Vertically, it looks about in the middle, which is no matter, because the “rule of 3rds” is just a starting point, a jumping off point. But it’s just enough here, along with the color, the warm orange filling the whole frame, along with every part of the photo, from the river, to the sky, even the way the bridge is angled, everything seems to be flowing towards this focal point of the Sun. And that gives it a “3 D” effect, or more warmly, makes you feel like you are in the photo. And the real “Coup de Grace” is that perfectly straight, sword like, streak of Sun light that at the same time seems to come at you, and yet pull you in, and also act like a beam or a “ballast” that grounds the photo, not just in our eyes, or even our mind, but down into the soul.

    Photo by Rosa Golijan:

    http://facebook.com/rosa
    http://twitter.com/rosa

  • How to Share a Youtube Video At a Certain Point During the Video

    This is so cool! I didn’t know you could do this. All you have to do is hit the button “Share” and below the URL link that they give you to share the video there’s a link called “Options.” If you click that it will give you the option of sharing the video to start at a certain point within the video. The time displayed is defaulted to where the playhead is at, but you can also manually enter the time. This is so useful, especially with longer and longer videos being allowed (The ‘Producer’ Accounts) because, say, there is an interesting segment within a much larger video that you find interesting or funny or both, now you can choose simply to share that segment. Very cool Google, very cool Youtube, and very useful!

  • Suburban Sweetheart

    Cover of the Josh Rouse tune “Suburban Sweetheart” I did on logic.

     

    “Suburban Sweeheart” Lyrics by Josh Rouse

    Got a gift, hesitate
    Never make the same mistakes
    If you could only see the person
    If you could only reach the man yeah

    We could move back to the suburbs
    Rent a house, change our name
    If you could only find a purpose
    If you could only stay the same yeah

    Sweetheart
    Sweetheart
    Sweetheart
    I could help you open and unfurl

    Shut up and listen
    Shut up, you talk too much
    You’re my source for inspiration
    You’re my hopes for retire

    I plan a trip, get away
    Never make the same mistakes
    If you could only be a person
    If I could only be a man

    Sweetheart
    Sweetheart
    Sweetheart
    I could help you open and unfurl
    And unfurl
    And unfurl